- Banned
- #16
To reset my own expectations; I use generous timelines that enable Rivian to have time to overcome the countless hurdles they will have.
I am a broken record around these forums when I say I predict my R1S won't be delivered until Q2-Q3 2024.
This is basically baking in a few months of delays; then using Tesla production volume for Model S to help me gauge how fast a company can go from massive factory producing 0 vehicles to assembly line producing multiple vehicles a day.
In April 2021, Rivian is quoted saying that they are able to build about one R1 vehicle a day.
If Rivian gets me my R1S in 2022; sweet. I will be happy. But if it doesn't come until 2024; that's cool, because that aligns with my own generous timeline. If I don't use a generous timeline; I set myself up for disappointment.
For new companies entering the EV space; nothing happens fast. For a tech worker that is used to seeing multiple codebases ship per day, this is a massive adjustment for me.
Let's hope I am wrong.
I am a broken record around these forums when I say I predict my R1S won't be delivered until Q2-Q3 2024.
This is basically baking in a few months of delays; then using Tesla production volume for Model S to help me gauge how fast a company can go from massive factory producing 0 vehicles to assembly line producing multiple vehicles a day.
In April 2021, Rivian is quoted saying that they are able to build about one R1 vehicle a day.
If Rivian gets me my R1S in 2022; sweet. I will be happy. But if it doesn't come until 2024; that's cool, because that aligns with my own generous timeline. If I don't use a generous timeline; I set myself up for disappointment.
For new companies entering the EV space; nothing happens fast. For a tech worker that is used to seeing multiple codebases ship per day, this is a massive adjustment for me.
Let's hope I am wrong.
I agree with you that things will end up stalling but I don't think it will be quite so bad as you think. I think Rivian will prioritize (and deliver on the new schedule) the LE pre-order holders and then all of the non-LE deliveries will be delayed.
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