Find your Rivian Order Number & Post it Here!

[whyasky]

#14,178
8/2/2019
R1T

I can't wait for one of you smart guys plots this and we can see how linear (or not) it is.

#536XX
7/15/2020

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[skyote]

#14,178
8/2/2019
R1T

I can't wait for one of you smart guys plots this and we can see how linear (or not) it is.

There's a pretty good one that I added to my original post, but here is the latest. Fairly linear early on, until the crazy Dec '19 spike, then flattened during COVID, but pretty big jump in May '20.

 

[DucRider]

It looks to me that the numbers hit 20K (1st year production?) then were reset to start at 40K.
The line is too close to vertical at that point for actual orders to account for it.

 

[skyote]

It looks to me that the numbers hit 20K (1st year production?) then were reset to start at 40K.
The line is too close to vertical at that point for actual orders to account for it.

I'm actually thinking it's legit. Between the "Cybertruck effect", preorders as Xmas presents, the Tank Turn video, and the T Rowe Price investment...I think it may have been a compound effect that shook people off the fence.

 

[oakleyb]

7/5/2019
13260 (R1T)

 

[DucRider]

I'm actually thinking it's legit. Between the "Cybertruck effect", preorders as Xmas presents, the Tank Turn video, and the T Rowe Price investment...I think it may have been a compound effect that shook people off the fence.

Until we see an order number between 20K (and maybe even up to 25K) and 40K, I'll continue to think it unlikely that orders doubled in that short time period and that none of the ~40% that ordered in that window have posted their order number here.
A big jump like that with no data points from 20K people ordering points to a number restart/reset.
Redo your graph as a scatter graph instead of an area graph and the pattern will show a bit more.

 

[Jehorton]

53595
7/14/20
fml

Don’t worry. There are many behind you saying the same thing

 

[aardvarkricky]

6/5/20 - # 50453

 

[electruck]

It looks to me that the numbers hit 20K (1st year production?) then were reset to start at 40K.
The line is too close to vertical at that point for actual orders to account for it.

May or may not correlate with first year production but it is interesting that the spike is almost exactly 1 year after they started accepting pre-orders. A "reset" would certainly be good news for folks in the over 40k range.

 

[Dreamwater]

2/2/19 - order 5996

 

[Jessewaldron]

July 11, 2019 = Order # 13,467

 

[skyote]

Until we see an order number between 20K (and maybe even up to 25K) and 40K, I'll continue to think it unlikely that orders doubled in that short time period and that none of the ~40% that ordered in that window have posted their order number here.
A big jump like that with no data points from 20K people ordering points to a number restart/reset.
Redo your graph as a scatter graph instead of an area graph and the pattern will show a bit more.

No data points at all from Dec 2019, working on it...

 

[Godawgs]

12/21/18 - Order #4149 R1T

 

[Triflingdeck]

Pre-Order# 53608
7/14/2020
R1S

 

[skyote]

For @DucRider , here's your current scatter

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