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skyote

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Lots of new data points - and none fall in the "jumps" which strengthens the assumption that those gaps do not have reservations.
Are incorporating the #s from the Inside EVs and YouTube comments?
Didn't look at the InsideEVs comments until now.

We're over 150 data points, with only a couple gaps I'd love to fill in better. One is Feb 2020-April 2020 (COVID, ordering visibly slowed), the other is mid to late June 2020.

Rivian R1T R1S Find your Rivian Order Number & Post it Here! 20200803_1724_Adjusted Order
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@skyote The data is great and looks VERY linear besides a slight slowdown for initial COVID onset. If you keep the same slope and plot a linear fit, what will the Pre-Orders reach by June 2021?
Didn't look at the InsideEVs comments until now.

We're over 150 data points, with only a couple gaps I'd love to fill in better. One is Feb 2020-April 2020 (COVID, ordering visibly slowed), the other is mid to late June 2020.

20200803_1724_Adjusted Order.png
 

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@skyote The data is great and looks VERY linear besides a slight slowdown for initial COVID onset. If you keep the same slope and plot a linear fit, what will the Pre-Orders reach by June 2021?
The last couple months have been over 2K preorders, and I would expect it to maintain that rate or possibly accelerate. Also depends on what is announced for EV competitors like CT, Hummer EVs, F150, etc.

My guess is another 10 months (through May) at 2-3K per month, so another 20-30K preorders by June 2021.

I also have a feeling production volume could be significantly more than the 20K/year previously announced, so a lot of preorder holders could get their vehicles in the first year.
 

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May 1st 2020 Order #44415 R1S
 

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9,365 on 4/7/2019 for R1T

Source line: 451 if anyone just wants to browse to it.
 

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9/29/2019 Order #16394
 

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The last couple months have been over 2K preorders, and I would expect it to maintain that rate or possibly accelerate. Also depends on what is announced for EV competitors like CT, Hummer EVs, F150, etc.

My guess is another 10 months (through May) at 2-3K per month, so another 20-30K preorders by June 2021.

I also have a feeling production volume could be significantly more than the 20K/year previously announced, so a lot of preorder holders could get their vehicles in the first year.
I just saw InsideEVs posted another report, and gave props to Skyler and John for their work. Nice job!

https://insideevs.com/news/437341/rivian-r1t-30-thousand-reservations/
 

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