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  1. Rivian R1T vs R1S sales numbers through Q3 2022

    Very interesting - that's pretty low for R1S and EDV. Very close to what I estimated in this thread! https://www.rivianforums.com/forum/threads/delivery-date-estimator-tool-based-on-where-you-are-in-line.8389/#post-207795
  2. New York Drive Clean Rebate. Why no Rivian?

    The NY governor recently made the announcement to ban gas gar sales by 2035.. does anyone know if there is talk of changing incentives in the near term related to that long term goal?
  3. Delivery date estimator tool based on where you are in line

    Yea, I'm happy with these numbers, just a hair above what I had estimated. Getting tough to estimate EDV as that is probably a significant component now. I updated the spreadsheet with the actuals.
  4. RAN charging curve?

    With 6 stations deployed, curious if anyone can share the charging curve they're getting. I see one mention on the forums of 215KW which is great.. that's over 8 miles per minute. What are others seeing in terms of charging speed, and what does the charging curve look like? I believe Rivian...
  5. Delivery date estimator tool based on where you are in line

    Polls on the forums show that early orders were 60-70% R1T, then starting in 2020 the split is closer to 50/50…makes sense because R1T is more of an early adopter vehicle and R1S is more mainstream soccer mom. I think RJ commented on one of the calls that the mix was close to 50/50.
  6. Through end of the year, Electrify America will replace 300+ early-generation chargers with next-generation chargers

    300 chargers means 75 locations, 10% of their current system. It’s a good start, hopefully they get close to Tesla reliability over time!
  7. Delivery date estimator tool based on where you are in line

    Yea, there is certainly more randomness than you’d like to see, but they didn’t have any 2021 orders delivered til about 1/3 of the way thru the tracker linked below. So there is some attempt from Rivian to order deliveries chronologically. That should be improving as more service centers open...
  8. Delivery date estimator tool based on where you are in line

    I’m thinking that delivery location is going to become an irrelevant factor either now or very soon. They have service centers in most major metro areas now. Also they’ve delivered over 10k R1Ts thru today, roughly 20% of their lifetime R1T order book to date, they’re into the meat of their...
  9. Delivery date estimator tool based on where you are in line

    I carried this math forward to Q4'23, and interestingly, it seems optimistic to say you'd get delivery by end of 2023 if you reserve now - this is the time frame Rivian quotes on their website now. Too optimistic by at least 1 quarter, pretty typical of Rivian's promises to date. It assumes...
  10. Delivery date estimator tool based on where you are in line

    1. If they had 17k orders on 4/25/21 in this example, some people out of that cohort will ultimately cancel meaning you're more like #15k in line, not #17k (simplifying to isolate the cancellations). Good catch on R1S, I should have subtracted and not added - fixed in the Google Sheets. 2. My...
  11. Delivery date estimator tool based on where you are in line

    I did this math to figure out where I am in line, and it's broadly applicable to any reservation holder so figured I'd share. You can determine what # order you are for either the R1S or R1T (I'm order #14,000 or so for R1T based on a 4/25/21 reservation), and see when Rivian will have produced...
  12. R1 vs Model S pricing

    Tesla’s margins on S/X are actually low. The last time they disclosed S/X gross margins (not including overhead) was “around 20%” in late 2018. As Model 3 production ramped at that time, it crushed S/X demand, the company lowered S/X pricing and added features, so I believe their S/X gross...
  13. Reddit Ask MotorTrend Anything (AMA) about their R1T Adventure! [Friday 9/24, 9-11am PT]

    Charging from 20-80% in 30 min with a 135kwh pack is an average of 162kw. That’s already way better than my experience with Tesla Superchargers- I only get >150kw for charging up to 25% full. If Rivian is capable of a peak rate 57% higher than what they’re doing now (300/190) then theoretical...
  14. Driver+ Limitations

    I’m optimistic that basic auto steer on all but the most dangerous / hairpin highways will work great in no time - using Tesla as a guide. They rushed into introducing AP1, built functionality on the fly in true Tesla fashion, and had great auto steer functionality in <6 months post releasing...
  15. Max charging speed

    I had a convo with CS about max charging speed. I back into 170kw, say hopeful they can do 300kw based on 800v architecture. They said stay tuned, hope to impress. 170kw is unimpressive IMO, especially with the large battery. Maybe no news here, but figured interesting enough to share. Anyone...
  16. New video "Let's Just Drive" & official letter from RJ provides huge update!

    Good point- so its actually 4 seconds if I watch the video on Youtube at 0.25x speed (16 seconds), so that reaction time stat actually seems right (the difference is the 0.25 sec visual stimulus). Timing it at 1x speed, pressing "start" 0.25 sec after the car starts to go and having a...
  17. New video "Let's Just Drive" & official letter from RJ provides huge update!

    This is actually 3.7-3.8 sections 2-60mph - timed it a few times on a stopwatch. 4 people in the car is an extra 600lbs ish vs just 1 for an official 0-60mph, 10% of the total car's weight (using Model X as proxy). Subtract 0.1-0.2 seconds for the weight, add 0.1-0.2 seconds for the 0-2mph and...
  18. Senate $40k cap on ev tax credit

    No manufacturer has plans to introduce a <$40k EV with reasonable range in the next few years, so this is basically like not even having an EV incentive at all. EV adoption in the US will most certainly stall in the US while it rips in Europe. This can't possibly be the outcome with dems in...
  19. What is important to you from the infotainment system?

    after 9 years of tesla ownership, here is what I consider must haves: Driver profiles for seats/mirrors/steering wheel Cloud music service (assume Amazon music, maybe Spotify) Location based embedded garage door opener Speed limit detection / display Energy usage history chart Adjustable...


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